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Ratio Working Paper No. 359: Stayin’ Alive: Export Credit Guarantees and Export Survival - Ratio

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Ratio Working Paper No. 359: Stayin’ Alive: Export Credit Guarantees and Export Survival

Abstract

We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms’ export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms’ export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both levels. The associations are particularly strong for smaller firms and contracts as well as in trade with riskier markets. The findings have implications for policies to promote long-run export growth.

Lodefalk, M., Tang, A. & Yu, M. (2022). Stayin’ Alive: Export Credit Guarantees and Export Survival. Ratio Working Paper No. 359: Stockholm.

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Published in

Kiel Policy Brief, 2026.

Abstract

Occupations that are highly cognitive, non-physical, and low in social interaction — typically higher-skill white-collar roles such as data analysts, software developers, and translators — turn out to be highly AI-exposed

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Engberg, E., Görg, H., Hellsten, M., Javed, F., Lodefalk, M., Längkvist, M., & .. (2026). Who is afraid of AI? Who should be?. Kiel Policy Brief, 2026.

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Published in

Ratio Working Paper Series.

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Published in

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Abstract

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Ratio Working Paper No. 359: Stayin’ Alive: Export Credit Guarantees and Export Survival

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