Lönebildning och den låga löneglidningen

PublicationReports
Arbetsmarknad, Arbetsmarknadsprogrammet, Eva Uddén Sonnegård, Lönebildning, Löneglidning
Lönebildning och den låga löneglidningen
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Abstract

Sammanfattning:
Löneglidningen har varit oväntat låg i Sverige och i det närmaste obefintlig under senare år. Vad beror detta på? Löneglidning (som kallas restpost i den officiella lönestatistiken) mäts som löneökningar utöver avtalade löneökningar. Att löneglidningen helt skulle ha försvunnit ifrågasätts i denna rapport. Resultaten visar att löneglidning finns men inte är synlig i aggregatet eftersom den trycks tillbaka av strukturella förändringar i arbetskraftens sammansättning beroende på bransch, utbildning och ålder. För att visa detta introducerar jag begreppet ”genuin” löneglidning inspirerad av Edmund Phelps grundläggande artikel ”Wage Drift” från 1962. Genuin löneglidning betecknar, enligt min definition, skillnaden mellan löneökningar rensade för strukturella förändringar och avtalade löneökningar. När löneökningarna 2015–2018 rensas med avseende på ålder visar beräkningarna för näringslivet att arbetarna fått negativ och tjänstemännen positiv genuin löneglidning om ålderssammansättningen i personalstyrkan är densamma som året innan (minus 0,3 respektive plus 1 procent 2018).

Uddén Sonnegård, E. (2020). Lönebildning och den låga löneglidningen. (Arbetsmarknadsprogrammet, rapport nr. 14) Stockholm: Ratio.


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