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PublikationWorking paper

Artificial Intelligence for Public Use

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Sammanfattning

This paper investigates the economic and societal impacts of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the public sector, focusing on its potential to enhance productivity and mitigate labour shortages. Employing detailed administrative data and novel occupational exposure measures, we simulate future scenarios over a 20-year horizon, using Sweden as an illustrative case. Our findings indicate that advances in AI development and uptake could significantly alleviate projected labour shortages and enhance productivity. However, outcomes vary substantially across sectors and organisational types, driven by differing workforce compositions. Complementing the economic analysis, we identify key challenges that hinder AI’s effective deployment, including technical limitations, organisational barriers, regulatory ambiguity, and ethical risks such as algorithmic bias and lack of transparency. Drawing from an interdisciplinary conceptual framework, we argue that AI’s integration in the public sector must address these socio-technical and institutional factors comprehensively. To unlock AI’s full potential, substantial investments in technological infrastructure, human capital development, regulatory clarity, and robust governance mechanisms are essential. Our study thus contributes both novel economic evidence and an integrated societal perspective, informing strategies for sustainable and equitable public-sector digitalisation.

Lodefalk, M., Engberg, E., Lidskog, R., & Tang, A. (2025). *Artificial Intelligence for Public Use* (Örebro University School of Business Working Paper 2025:6). Örebro universitet.


Liknande innehåll

Artikel (med peer review)

Stayin’ alive: Export credit guarantees and export survival

Lodefalk, M., Tang, A., & Yu, M.
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Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

Applied Economics Letters

Sammanfattning

We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms’ export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms’ export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both levels. The associations are particularly strong for smaller firms and contracts as well as in trade with riskier markets. The findings have implications for policies to promote long-run export growth.

Artikel (med peer review)

Artificial intelligence, tasks, skills and wages: Worker-level evidence from Germany

Engberg, E., Koch, M., Lodefalk, M., & Schroeder, S.
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Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

Research Policy

Sammanfattning

As a first step, the study documents novel evidence on changes in tasks and skills within occupations in Germany over the past two decades. It further identifies a distinct relationship between ex ante occupational work content and ex post exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) and automation through robots. Workers in occupations with high AI exposure perform different activities and face different skill requirements than workers in occupations primarily exposed to robots, suggesting that AI and robots substitute for different types of tasks and skills. The study also shows that changes in the task and skill content of occupations are related to their initial exposure to these technologies. Finally, using individual labour market biographies, the analysis investigates the relationship between AI exposure and wages. By examining the dynamic effects of AI exposure over time, the study finds positive associations with wages, with nuanced differences across occupational groups, thereby providing further insight into the substitutability and augmentability of AI.

Working paper

Working Paper No. 386 The Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Jobs: Evidence from an AI subsidy Program.

Mark Hellsten, Shantanu Khanna, Magnus Lodefalk, Yaroslav Yakymovych
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Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

Ratio Working Paper Series.

Sammanfattning

Artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to reshape labor markets, yet causal evidence remains scarce. We exploit a novel Swedish subsidy program that encouraged small and mid-sized firms to adopt AI. Using a synthetic difference-in-differences design comparing awarded and non-awarded firms, we find that AI subsidies led to a sustained increase in job postings over five years, but with no statistically detectable change in employment. This pattern reflects hiring signals concentrated in AI occupations and white-collar roles. Our findings align with task-based models of automation, in which AI adoption reconfigures work and spurs demand for new skills, but hiring frictions and the need for complementary investments delay workforce expansion.

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Detaljer

Författare
Lodefalk, M.; Engberg, E.; Lidskog, R.; Tang, A.
Publiceringsår
2025
Publicerat i

Örebro University School of Business Working Paper

Relaterat

  • Docent

    Magnus Lodefalk

    magnus.lodefalk@oru.se
  • Doktorand

    Erik Engberg

    erik.engberg@ratio.se