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PublikationWorking paper

Working Paper No. 380: Artificial Intelligence, Hiring and Employment: Job Postings Evidence from Sweden

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Sammanfattning

This paper investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on hiring and employment, using the universe of job postings published by the Swedish Public Employment Service from 2014-2022 and universal register data for Sweden. We construct a detailed measure of AI exposure according to occupational content and find that establishments exposed to AI are more likely to hire AI workers. Survey data further indicate that AI exposure aligns with greater use of AI services. Importantly, rather than displacing non-AI workers, AI exposure is positively associated with increased hiring for both AI and non-AI roles. In the absence of substantial productivity gains that might account for this increase, we interpret the positive link between AI exposure and non-AI hiring as evidence that establishments are using AI to augment existing roles and expand task capabilities, rather than to replace non-AI workers.

Engberg, E., Hellsten, M., Javed, F., Lodefalk, M., Sabolová, R., Schroeder, S., & Tang, A. (2024). Artificial Intelligence, hiring and employment: Job postings evidence from Sweden. Ratio Working Paper No. 380.

Detaljer

Författare
Lodefalk, M.
Publiceringsår
2024
Publicerat i

Ratio Working Paper Series.

Relaterat

  • Filosofie doktor

    Sarah Schroeder

    sschroeder@econ.au.dk
  • Associerad forskare

    Mark Hellsten

    mark.hellsten@uni-tuebingen.de
  • Docent

    Magnus Lodefalk

    magnus.lodefalk@oru.se
  • Doktorand

    Erik Engberg

    erik.engberg@ratio.se

Liknande innehåll

Working paper

Health insurance premium changes and labor supply: Evidence from a low-income country

Schroeder, S.
Ladda ner

Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

European Economic Review

Sammanfattning

We study the effect of a health insurance premium policy change on labor supply. Using a matching with difference-in-differences strategy on pooled nationwide cross-sectional and panel data we find that both premium waivers and premium increases led to a reduction in labor supply by almost similar margins. We also show that the policy change reduced the probability of wage employment and increased domestic labor supply, pointing to potential income effect for waivers and potential manipulation effects for premium increases. Our results are robust to various specifications and raise concerns for the unintended effects of popular but likely inefficient community-based welfare targeting methods.

Artikel (med peer review)

Exporters, multinationals and residual wage inequality: Evidence and theory

Schroeder, S.
Ladda ner

Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

European Economic Review

Sammanfattning

A growing empirical literature underscores the pivotal role of ”global firms” in shaping labour market outcomes, including inequality. These are firms that participate in the international economy across multiple dimensions, including both trade and foreign direct investment (FDI). This prompts an important question: Is wage inequality among workers with similar characteristics primarily influenced by firms engaged solely in exporting, those involved solely in FDI, or by multinational enterprises (MNEs) that do both? Using linked employer–employee panel data for Germany, this paper unveils nuanced patterns in wage premia among various internationalising establishments, where I identify sorting between workers and establishments as a key driver. I interpret these patterns using a theoretical model that incorporates trade and FDI with monopolistic competition, wherein heterogeneous firms operate within frictional labour markets as they search for workers. My model gives rise to a novel channel for the MNE wage premium, stemming from their ability to transfer their human resource practices to their plant abroad.

Artikel (med peer review)

Stayin’ alive: Export credit guarantees and export survival

Lodefalk, M., Tang, A., & Yu, M.
Ladda ner

Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

Applied Economics Letters

Sammanfattning

We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms’ export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms’ export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both levels. The associations are particularly strong for smaller firms and contracts as well as in trade with riskier markets. The findings have implications for policies to promote long-run export growth.

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