The Brexit Trade Disruption Revisited

PublikationArtikel (med peer review)
Andreas Hatzigeorgiou, Brexit, Företagandets villkor, Handel, Magnus Lodefalk, Migration

Sammanfattning

political implications. One of the most profound economic impacts would be on trade—the EU is the UK’s most important trade partner, with approximately half of UK total trade. A Brexit would imply looser economic integration between the UK and EU. In addition to the trade barriers that would arise from leaving the single market, there would also be negative trade policy effects. Previous analyses of the cost of a Brexit to the UK economy in terms of trade have probably underestimated the impact because they overlook the trade-enhancing role of migration. A Brexit would be likely to limit migration, which, in turn, would aggravate the exit’s trade-disruptive effect.

Hatzigeorgiou, A., & Lodefalk, M. (2016). The Brexit Trade Disruption Revisited. The Estey Journal of International Law and Trade Policy, 17(1), 41-58.


Liknande innehåll

Artificial intelligence, hiring and employment: job postings evidence from Sweden
Artikel (med peer review)Publikation
Engberg, E., Hellsten, M., Javed, F., Lodefalk, M., Sabolová, R., Schroeder, S., & Tang, A
Publiceringsår

2025

Publicerat i

 Applied Economics Letters

Sammanfattning

This paper investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on hiring and employment, using the universe of job postings published by the Swedish Public Employment Service from 2014 to 2022 and full-population administrative data for Sweden. We exploit a detailed measure of AI exposure according to occupational content and find that establishments exposed to AI are more likely to hire AI workers. Survey data further indicate that AI exposure aligns with greater use of AI services. Importantly, rather than displacing non-AI workers, AI exposure is positively associated with increased hiring for both AI and non-AI roles. In the absence of substantial productivity gains that might account for this increase, we interpret the positive link between AI exposure and non-AI hiring as evidence that establishments are using AI to augment existing roles and expand task capabilities, rather than to replace non-AI workers.

Working Paper No. 380: Artificial Intelligence, Hiring and Employment: Job Postings Evidence from Sweden
Working paperPublikation
Lodefalk, M.
Publiceringsår

2024

Publicerat i

Ratio Working Paper Series.

Sammanfattning

This paper investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on hiring and employment, using the universe of job postings published by the Swedish Public Employment Service from 2014-2022 and universal register data for Sweden. We construct a detailed measure of AI exposure according to occupational content and find that establishments exposed to AI are more likely to hire AI workers. Survey data further indicate that AI exposure aligns with greater use of AI services. Importantly, rather than displacing non-AI workers, AI exposure is positively associated with increased hiring for both AI and non-AI roles. In the absence of substantial productivity gains that might account for this increase, we interpret the positive link between AI exposure and non-AI hiring as evidence that establishments are using AI to augment existing roles and expand task capabilities, rather than to replace non-AI workers.

Ratio Working Paper No. 377: Artificial Intelligence and Worker Stress: Evidence from Germany
Working paperPublikation
Koch, M., & Lodefalk, M.
Publiceringsår

2024

Publicerat i

Ratio Working Paper Series.

Sammanfattning

We use individual survey data providing detailed information on stress, technology adoption, and work, worker, and employer characteristics, in combination with recent measures of AI and robot exposure, to investigate how new technologies affect worker stress. We find a persistent negative relationship, suggesting that AI and robots could reduce the stress level of workers. We furthermore provide evidence on potential mechanisms to explain our findings. Overall, the results provide suggestive evidence of modern technologies changing the way we perform our work in a way that reduces stress and work pressure.

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