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PublikationWorking paper

Ratio Working Paper No. 320: Public policy failures related to China’s Wind Power Development

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Sammanfattning

An anecdote about the failure of the Soviet economic system tells about a factory which were evaluated based on tons of nails produced – unsurprisingly the nails became heavy. China is currently hailed as the worlds primer wind power producer; however, a closer examination reveals a string of policy failure making the Chinese wind power development resemble the infamous Soviet nail example. From a technological transition perspective, policy failures in China’s wind power program from 1980-2016 is documented and analysed. Five overarching topics are analysed including: Conflicting policies, quality problems, underwhelming technological development, lacking technological standards and insufficient grid transmission system. One conclusion is that when the Chinese government set a command and control target of how much new installed capacity that was going to be constructed the state utilities delivered to target but with an abundance of power plants without grid connectivity, severe quality problems and low technological development.

Grafström, J. (2019). China’s Public policy failures related to China’s Wind Power Development. Ratio Working Paper no. 320. Stockholm: Ratio.

Detaljer

Författare
Grafström, J.
Publiceringsår
2019
Publicerat i

Ratio Working Paper

Relaterat

  • Bild av Jonas Grafström, medarbetare på Ratio
    Filosofie doktor och vice vd

    Jonas Grafström

    0703475854jonas.grafstrom@ratio.se

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Den femte skriften från regeringens utredning Framtid med barn. Studien analyserar hur ekonomisk politik påverkar födelsetal och konstaterar att strukturella reformer inom bostad, arbetsmarknad och välfärd är viktigare än enbart ekonomiska transfereringar för att vända Sveriges historiskt låga födelsetal.

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Recycled aggregates materials are often relegated to downcycled applications such as backfilling. Different barriers limit their reintegration into higher-value construction use. This paper develops a probabilistic model of material flows using a Markov chain framework to simulate transitions between four states: Input, Use/Waste, Recycling, and Disposal. The model draws on Eurostat data covering non-metallic minerals in 27 EU Member States (2014–2023) and incorporates barrier-adjusted transition probabilities reflecting economic, technological, institutional, and social constraints. Scenario simulations reveal that improvements in recycling probabilities can yield nonlinear gains in material retention. However, once structural barriers are introduced, system performance declines sharply—even under favourable technical assumptions. The results suggest that modest policy interventions may have outsized effects if targeted toward key transition points.

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Nyhetsartikel

Misslyckad policy och Kinas vindkraftutveckling

Jonas Grafström, fil dr nationalekonomi, skriver i sitt senaste Working Paper ”Public policy failures related to China’s Wind Power Development” om politiska beslut i Kina som påverkat vindkraftutveckling. Kina är idag hyllat som världens främsta...

Publicerat 2 april 2019
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